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Prediction for CME (2021-07-26T16:48:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2021-07-26T16:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/17393/-1 CME Note: Partial halo to the southwest in SOHO LASCO/C2, to the west in COR2A. Associated with an eruption from AR 12847 (near S30E00), visible in SDO AIA 171/193 beginning 2021-07-26T14:57Z. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-07-29T20:33Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model) Prediction Method Note: % Compiled module: EAM_V2. ****************************************************************************** Most pr. speed = 610.0 km/s The EAM version you are running is: v2 u_r = 667.986 Acceleration: -0.854756 Duration in seconds: 272717.40 Duration in days: 3.1564514 ************************************************************************************** Acceleration of the CME: -0.85 m/s^2 Velocity of the CME at 1 AU: 434.9 km/s Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 29/07/2021 Time: 20:33 UTLead Time: 61.55 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2021-07-27T07:00Z |
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